I think I may start every weekend update from now on with what I consider the most important visual image of the week. Cross-examination of Dr. Ive used it for a day and the interface is great and for those who are becoming a little less enamored with the state of twitter, its worthy of your consideration. Aug 20, 2023. Dont worry, the Weekend Update will still be free But the other pieces I write, such as specialized commentary on the war,. The NATO Communique and Ukraine Too Clever by Half. Ive said quite alot about the latter during the past few. It takes on the question of whether Russia is winning the war, which some are now saying. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien An interesting story of US intelligence aid to Ukraine, which has long been suspected. The New Battle of Kherson, Cluster Munitions, Erdogan snubs Putin,. OBrien's subscriber chat. Dec 31, 2022. Phillipss Newsletter is a reader-supported publication. Tallahassee, FL Joined July 2009. OBrien Substack Hello Everyone,The Ukraine cant win the war arguments that Ive been. Phillips P. Aqu&237; nos gustar&237;a mostrarte una descripci&243;n, pero el sitio web que est&225;s mirando no lo permite. It involved a series of airmissile attacks against the Ukrainian transport net. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. Subscribe to Phillipss Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. Looking at Ukraine and Afghanistan, the US should learn the lesson that if it has to do the fighting, its usually bad. Writing about grand strategy, war, history, Romanesque and Baroque buildings I love, Sicily, and pretty much anything else that takes my fancy. Weekend Update 29. Phillips P. Ukraine Is Waging a New Kind of War. Mykola Bielieskov. 5,214Likes 972Retweets. Weekend Update 3 on Substack. From the first meeting I had in Ukraine to the last, there was a constant refrain. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. said in testimony to Parliament today, that I did a substack on it. Dec 7, 2023 Hi All. OK we are about 12 hours into what is clearly an attempt by Yevgeny Prigozhin to topple the leadership of the Russian military (and very possibly the Russian government). Phillips P. 221 subscribed. The latest tweets from PhillipsPOBrien. Phillips P. Phillips O'Brien is a Professor of Strategic Studies at the University of St Andrews. Mykola Bielieskov have decided to start releasing a regular series of podcasts on the state of the war, looking forward, looking back and discussing different geopolitical developments. They understand the public opinion crisis this could cause (I wrote about it in the midweek substack). I could hardly have imagined the intricacy of this complex six months ago, when I was just beginning to read the likes of OBrien or Mick Ryan or Lawrence Freedman. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien. They dont show up in my feed. The last year should have made it obvious, if it wasnt already, that preparing Ukraine to launch direct, combined-arms assaults against fortified Russian lines is not the way ahead. Weekend Update 46. Her fate was decided when she was born into a family of multi-generational. Click to read Futura Doctrina, by Mick Ryan, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. If you remember I wrote two pieces in November on how to craft a better US foreign policy, basically calling for a more measured understanding of what the US could accomplish with its power and arguing against too much intervention. Comments - How to Craft a Better US Foreign Policy. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. Feb 16, 2023 Phillips P. OBrien May 4 Since well before February 24,2022, Ive been completely befuddled by the very strong claims made by the analytical community about how supposedly strong the Russian Army was and how supposedly weak Ukraine was. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien Been watching the events of the last 18 hours closely, and have to say this looks like a far more well-planned out coup attempt than it first appeared. If its incredibly silly to try and pass judgement on the Ukrainian offensive after a few days, its almost as silly to think that this has been a long war. A few days later the seem I thought could be dispensed with and in a 7 July Substack, I wrote that the Ukrainians had embarked on a distinct Artillery destruction phase of the counteroffensive. Vers la victoire, vers la paix, vers l'Europe. Thanks for reading Phillipss Newsletter Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. Jun 22, 2023 Its only be a very short time since February 2022. Professor of Strategic Studies, univofstandrews; Senior Adviser CSIS; Author How the War was Won, and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. The last few days have brought some interesting developments that reveal that the Ukrainians are continuing to do something in particular, which is to create a weak spot in the Russian line. Jul 4, 2023 What he said about the war in Ukraine struck me as so important, that I thought his statement deserved their own substack. Their are both ground based anti air systems from MANPADS (think Stingers) to the most advanced larger ground-based systems such as Patriors, S-400s, etc etc. Whatever intrigues me--these days the Russo-Ukraine War with regular departures. Sep 7, 2023 Hello Everyone, You might have seen a message that just appeared. September 8, 2022. Phillips OBrienPhillipss Newsletter on Substack. Hi All, released a weekend update on the Russo-Ukraine War today. Phillips P. Mindy Mechanic continues. It might indeed be a good thing for the Ukrainians to pull out now, if they are in such a bad situation that the loss rate is not as high in their favor as one would like, then continuing to fight for. Mar 22, 2023 To be a Great power it is a sine qua non that a nation be one of the economictechnological leaders of its era. Phillips P. As published in The Atlantic on May 11, 2023. The map changes show clear. Feb 12, 2023 &0183; Phillips P. Who would have thought that the most interesting portrayal of Neville Chamberlain today would not be that of Jeremy Irons in Munich but by a very different troop of performers including Fox News Tucker Carlson and the Nations Katrina vanden Heuvel These two, who come from the. Aqu&237; nos gustar&237;a mostrarte una descripci&243;n, pero el sitio web que est&225;s mirando no lo permite. It involved a series of airmissile attacks against the Ukrainian transport net. Good morning. Aqu&237; nos gustar&237;a mostrarte una descripci&243;n, pero el sitio web que est&225;s mirando no lo permite. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien. Sign in. Phillips P. Ive written a piece about it, trying to make sense of the jumble. A few things stand out this week, what might be happening on the Kherson front, how to understand the production war, and the state of the air war. However, Im starting with some thoughts on the state of the Ukrainian counteroffensive. Jun 4, 2023 Phillips P. Yes, Iam that wordy. At just after 1541 on the clock, Admiral Radakin gets onto the state of the Russo-Ukraine war, and its fascinating. Here is the link Healing Mind Control Through Love In this groundbreaking interview, my dear soul sister Cathy OBrien and I discuss Mind Control historically and today implemented through the C19 nanotechnological synthetic biology. The shift in Europe, Tanks and What is Really Important about Them. RIP Hero. They even publicly released a their estimates about Russian missile and drone productionto show how closely they are tracking replacement and usage. These are hardly world shattering advances, but they show that the momentum remains with Ukraine. Thousands of paid subscribers. Paid. Oct 8, 2023 However, if much of the world was not interested in conventional war, conventional war (to steal a line that has been reputedly said Leon Trotsky) was always interested in us. The Failure to Understand War--A Call for a Reassessment. Dec 2, 2023 Europe and US Public Opinion remains remarkably solid. Its dark now, so I cant see much, but having driven this way a week ago, I have a pretty good idea of the topography. OBrien Jul 12 I had hopes this morning that President Biden and other major leaders at the Vilnius NATO summit might grasp the opportunity that they have been given by assuring the Ukrainian government that they would be admitted into NATO not long after the cessation of hostilities with Russia. Hint, Russia is not winning. Phillips P. Yet this was easily the most ominous event for Russian control of Crimea so far in the warindeed for the whole Russian position from Crimea to the west (into Kherson). Im in continued discussion with people here in the UK including Professor Phillips P OBrien here on Substack and a chart topping popular podcast called BattleGround Ukraine (hosted by Gary Linekers company Goalhanger) who routinely accept the Oryx numbers. Just sent out the weekend update (its free). Think of it like a literate twitter, easy to use, without the neo-Nazis. It requires many things to consciously be undertaken, from studies to production. comThe Future of American Warfare Is. Remember, the Kremlin recently announced it was withdrawing from the grain shipment dealbut has been powerless to do anything but fight with words. ATACMS have been maybe the talismanic element in this bluff. Delved into 3 questions--the importance of Biden's visit to Kyiv, Chinese policy, and the ongoing Russian offensive. There is precious little evidence for thisand actually much evidence of the opposite. The discussion here is about whether the Russians. 08 Mar 2023 222056. Mar 12, 2023 26. When you arrive into Kyiv after the long drive from Poland, you are struck by how the ordinariness of life goes on, and yet the reality of being in the bloodiest war in Europe since 1945 is all around you. Official footage of Joe Biden's historic visit to Kyiv released by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Mar 22, 2023 To be a Great power it is a sine qua non that a nation be one of the economictechnological leaders of its era. I am committed to keeping these free, as they seem to be read by lots of people. NATO Summit why I'm more half-full than half-empty The Ukrainian counteroffensive is not 'slow' (yet again). I am committed to keeping these free, as they seem to be read by lots of people. So Ukraine is winning the war at sea without warships. In March 2022 he was only one of 57 members of the House to oppose military aidon completely specious, populist grounds. OBrien Substack Hello Everyone,The Ukraine cant win the war arguments that I&x27;ve been warning about for months now are coming thick and fast. TRANCE Formation of America exposes the truth behind this covert government program and its. Professor of Strategic Studies, univofstandrews; Senior Adviser CSIS; Author How the War was Won, and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. Tallahassee, FL Joined July 2009. I was this week going to finish up my writings on military learning by discussing the Russian campaign against Ukrainian power generation and critical infrastructure, but the Battle of Bakhmut seems so. Aug 17, 2023 At that point, Ukraine shifted tactics to what seemed to be an artilleryMLRSUAV war with light infantry (see substack July 2). It&x27;s mostly about the intelligence leaks in the USA, which strikes me as embarrassing, but of no battlefield importance. Jul 27, 2023. Apr 12, 2023. Well its now been 20 weeks since I started producing my weekly update on substack. Nov 11, 2022. They dont show up in my feed. (The other refrain was we need 155mm ammunition). The Battle of the Nile, 1798. Well, thought I would try Notesto see if others are using it. As Wagner troops marched on Moscow, Ukraine made further gains. Hope that is ok Once again, the line barely moved this week, but it might have been the most momentous week of the war since February 24, 2022. Phillips P. He is the author of How the War was Won and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. Click to read Phillipss Substack, by Phillips P. Subscribe to Phillipss Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. The shift in Europe, Tanks and What is Really Important about Them. 13 Nov 2022 095052. The last year should have made it obvious, if it wasnt already, that preparing Ukraine to launch direct, combined-arms assaults against fortified Russian lines is not the way ahead. With the Russian withdrawal from the west bank of the Dnipro and the city of Kherson, it might be said that a phase of the war which stretched from July to today is ending. 10 months ago &183; 93 likes &183; 32 comments &183; Phillips P. His books include the revisionist history How the War Was Won Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II (2015). Phillips P. Listeners can follow Phillips O'Brien on Substack at phillipspobrien. PhillipsPOBrien Ok, some people have asked for a summary of my views on war (why my analysis of the Ukraine war has been so pointed), so I thought I would make this thread with reference to. Weekend Update--just sent out from substack. The S-400 is Russias most advanced anti air system. My guessnot at all. Indeed the whole purpose of the paper is to discuss what is needed to end this phase of war, and transition back to a form of maneuver warfare, which would allow the Ukrainians to move forward and liberate larger chunks of. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. In the podcast, we basically focussed on 3 different areas of fighting these days around the town of Avdiivka, on the Kherson Front and in the Black Sea Crimea front. , , . Putin's emphasis of this is "not a bluff" notwithstanding, some analysts say this is all about posturing in order to scare NATO away from escalation. Just sent out a substack that develops some of the ideas that I put out in the Atlantic this week--primarily that the US needs to understand that its ability to control events is weaker than it thinks. AMHERST, N. Phillips P. Confusing Soviet Power in World War II and Russian power today, and why that matters. Aqu&237; nos gustar&237;a mostrarte una descripci&243;n, pero el sitio web que est&225;s mirando no lo permite. Overall, a strong majority (59) of Americans support sending U. Jan 29. It has not even been 16 months since the Russians launched their full-scale invasion. Phillips P. First, the Russians have severely restricted their offensive activity to now a very small pocket between Popasna and Severodonetsk. It has not even been 16 months since the Russians launched their full-scale invasion. 1 Fortunately for Ukraine, the Russians didnt have enough ordnance to run a truly effective campaign. Hi all, just sent out my weekend update (free as always). People need to move beyond the deeply flawed view of what this war would be like from before Feb 24, 2022 and understand what this war is. Its rather too long for Substackand Ive received some strong indications that it will be published something ideal, so that is what is going to happen. You are welcome to get in touch by email at ukrainewartalkgmail. My four sources of information on Ukraine are you, ISW, NYT, and WaPo, but you are by far the best at putting it in strategic perspective. The 300,000 figure was recently given by Ukrainian defense minister Reznikov. After months of delays, obfuscations and, quite possibly, deliberate distortions, the US. The discussion here is about whether the Russians. It hasnt won it yet, but Russia will have to do something drastic to change the trajectory. Sep 17, 2023 Weekend Update 46. 20 Jul 2023 151913. Ukraine, so it was said, could never be given these systems because Putin might go nuclear. If its incredibly silly to try and pass judgement on the Ukrainian offensive after a few days, its almost as silly to think that this has been a long war. This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Phillipss Newsletter. He is the author of How the War was Won and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. Putin is having his Stalin moment, and may regret it. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien. It has given a certain clarity to Europes future. The fight to retake the city of Kherson plays to the Ukrainians strengths, not the Russians. After months of delays, obfuscations and, quite possibly, deliberate distortions, the US. There are many variables that still need to be. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien. So Ukraine is winning the war at sea without warships. Phillips P. Click to read Phillips&x27;s Substack, by Phillips P. Weekend Update--just sent out from substack. (Evan Vucci Associated Press) I have spent the past week listening to Russian specialists discuss the coming Ukrainian offensive. This week, this adaptability and creativity really revealed itself in the Black Sea. PhillipsPOBrien Ok, some people have asked for a summary of my views on war (why my analysis of the Ukraine war has been so pointed), so I thought I would make this thread with reference to. Winning a War at Sea Without Warships. This week witnessed one of the most well executed and planned operations of this war so far, the Ukrainian attack on the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Sevastapol. Professor of Strategic Studies, univofstandrews; Senior Adviser CSIS; Author How the War was Won, and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. The battlefield seemed to relatively static over the past week, though there are small signs of movement. His books include the revisionist history How the War Was Won Air-Sea Power and Allied Victory in World War II (2015). Now they have to rebuild their lives and their hopes for Russia from exile. Answering that call in June, Washington delivered the first batch of truck-mounted, multiple-rocket launchers known as HIMARS, which fire satellite-guided rockets with a range of around 50 miles. OBrien phillipspobrien 1 link Professor of Strategic Studies, univofstandrew. Monitoring equipment replacement is clearly something that matters hugely to the Ukrainians. Here is the TheStudyofWar map. It takes on the question of whether Russia is winning the war, which some are now saying. 655 PM Jan 14, 2023. moviestvnetwork schedule, edgar buchanan net worth
Just published my latest weekend update on substack (its free). . Phillips obrien substack
Comments - Weekend Update 15 - by Phillips P. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien Was so struck by what Admiral Radakin (the senior UK professional military officer) said in testimony to Parliament today, that I did a substack on it. I wont even think of speculating about the future course of the war for an informed opinion I urge you to read Phillips OBrien and Lawrence Freedman. Phillips P. Even when forces create opening in the lines, which the Ukrainians did in Zaporizhzhia the other week, it is extremely difficult to exploit those openings. At first this attempt by Prigozhin seemed almost impulsive and bound to fail (and. Listeners can follow Phillips O'Brien on Substack at phillipspobrien. Ministry of Defence DefenceHQ. Mindy Mechanic continues. Americans are less sure of who is currently winning the war between Russia and Ukraine, with 31 saying Ukraine, 27 saying Russia, 25 saying neither, and 17 saying that they do not know. The countryside and wildlife will be massively damaged, food production will be sorely hit, villages and town wiped out. 08 Mar 2023 222056. Its rather too long for Substackand Ive received some strong indications that it will be published something ideal, so that is what is going to happen. Whatever intrigues me--these days the Russo-Ukraine War with regular departures. Its rather long this week and has lots of links. Indeed the whole purpose of the paper is to discuss what is needed to end this phase of war, and transition back to a form of maneuver warfare, which would allow the Ukrainians to move forward and liberate larger chunks of. This all started with an announcement by Prigozhin yesterday that the Russian army had launched a missile attack on a Wagner baseand it has snowballed exponentially since then. In a predictable, but still depressing move, some of the biggest cheerleaders for forcing Ukraine to make a bad deal with Russia have pronounced the Ukrainian offensive a failure. Aqu&237; nos gustar&237;a mostrarte una descripci&243;n, pero el sitio web que est&225;s mirando no lo permite. Donalds Substack. This week there were two main issues that took peoples attention, the latest Russian missile attack on Ukrainian infrastructurepower generation and the continuation of the Battle of Bakhmut by Ukrainian forces (when many people seem to be arguing that they should be withdrawn). The politicalsymbolic importance of. Full archive of all the posts from Phillipss Newsletter. For the larger strategic war is not a stalemate. Its mostly about the intelligence leaks in the USA, which strikes me as embarrassing, but of no battlefield importance. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien. Think Nelsons other great victory, the Battle of the Nile. But I. Phillips P. The battlefield seemed to relatively static over the past week, though there are small signs of movement. May 4. PhillipsPOBrien Ok, some people have asked for a summary of my views on war (why my analysis of the Ukraine war has been so pointed), so I thought I would make this thread with reference to. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. Americans are less sure of who is currently winning the war between Russia and Ukraine, with 31 saying Ukraine, 27 saying Russia, 25 saying neither, and 17 saying that they do not know. For them the war meant the future of Russia itself was now in doubt. Many thanks once again for your thoughtful and thorough analysis. Here is a link to it. "Humanity United Movement Starts With Absolute Truth YOUR SPIRIT IS THE ULTIMATE ANTIDOTE. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien. The United States government, it seems, wants Ukraine to win the warbut would prefer it to happen in perhaps the most difficult ways possible. "Humanity United Movement Starts With Absolute Truth YOUR SPIRIT IS THE ULTIMATE ANTIDOTE. I wont even think of speculating about the future course of the war for an informed opinion I urge you to read Phillips OBrien and Lawrence Freedman. Just sent out the weekend update (its free). They even publicly released a their estimates about Russian missile and drone productionto show how closely they are tracking replacement and usage. 3) The destruction of military power. Phillips P. OBrien Substack Hello Everyone,The Ukraine cant win the war arguments that Ive been. Indeed the whole purpose of the paper is to discuss what is needed to end this phase of war, and transition back to a form of maneuver warfare, which would allow the Ukrainians to move forward and liberate larger chunks of. The map changes show clear. Aug 20, 2023 Indeed up through Wednesday the Ukrainians seem to be having some success going about their business. 746 AM Mar 20, 2022. Dont really need to say more than that. Some concern over this has masked the fact that the Ukrainians. Of course on its own, it wont affect support for Russia from China or others at all. Plus a discussion of General Zaluzhny's ideas on how Ukraine can win the war. Ukrainians believe that they have exhausted Russians forces by making them fight constantly for the town. This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Phillipss Newsletter. It involved a series of airmissile attacks against the Ukrainian transport net. Dec 2, 2023 Europe and US Public Opinion remains remarkably solid. Cant say Im loving Twitter so much these days. Indeed the whole purpose of the paper is to discuss what is needed to end this phase of war, and transition back to a form of maneuver warfare, which would allow the Ukrainians to move forward and liberate larger chunks of. Phillips Payson OBrien. 8 Following. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien. This kind of. Ready for more. OBrien, a Substack publication. War as a process basically. This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Phillipss Newsletter. Hi All, Its rather hard to believe that Ive now written 50 of these weekend updates on Substack. Was this the week when Ukraine won the war F-16s, Zelensky's Foreign Trips, Military advantage. 9 billion) to Ukraine was actually less than 44 billion given by the eight largest European contributors (Germany, Britain, Norway, Denmark, Poland, Netherlands, Sweden and the EU institutionally). Dont really need to say more than that. Phillips P. Professor of Strategic Studies, univofstandrew. Weekend Update--just sent out from substack. Thanks for reading Phillipss Newsletter Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. Phillips P. They are losing more to take less as I tried to explain in my weekend update a few weeks ago. UAV attack on Kremlin, May 3, 2023. I started this as a protective measure when Musk took over twitter, and I think I stumbled into a far great method of communicating. Feb 5. Phillips P. 14 January, 2022. Phillips O'Brien. OBrien PhillipsPOBrien You might have seen this Russian ammunition dump be blown up last night by the Ukrainians, it reveals more than any other attack Ive seen about the state of the logistics war and the real problems the Russians face. Phillips P. From the first meeting I had in Ukraine to the last, there was a constant refrain. Weekend Update 8. Phillips P. Aqu&237; nos gustar&237;a mostrarte una descripci&243;n, pero el sitio web que est&225;s mirando no lo permite. Thanks for reading Phillipss Newsletter Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work. Copy link. And I have notifications for ONE person here, thats you. Phillips P. Basically the daily rate in the last few weeks is almost 200 larger than it has been over the last 500 days. He was formerly at the University of Glasgow where he ran the Scottish Centre for War Studies. I then turned to. A Weekend Update Like No Other. Hi all, just sent out my weekend update (free as always). Timothy Snyder. Currently, she is a medical instructor. . adult comic